Week 12 on the NFL schedule is here, and there are several teams in the thick of a playoff battle. The sports betting sites are keeping a close watch on the teams and trying to separate the contenders from the pretenders. Some teams have hit major lows while others are still flying on major highs. Here are some of the upsets to watch for this weekend.

Carolina Panthers (-3) @ Indianapolis Colts

There is nothing in this pick other than a gut feeling. The Colts will win the Andrew Luck sweepstakes, and they will probably take Luck. But the Colts will not go 0-16. The defense on this team can win this game if it can just contain Cam Newton. Defenses all over the league are figuring Newton out, and Indianapolis has a pretty decent pass rush.

Pick: Indianapolis Colts

Chicago Bears @ Oakland Raiders (-4 ½)

The Bears’ fans are panicking over the loss of quarterback Jay Cutler to injury. But all backup Caleb Hanie has to do is give the ball to running back Matt Forte and not give the ball away with interceptions. The rest of this Chicago team is still a championship caliber team, and Hanie does not need to be great to win this game.

Pick: Chicago Bears

Denver Broncos @ San Diego Chargers (-6 ½)

The Chargers keep giving up points with the odds makers each week because every one of them believes that San Diego should start winning. At some point, price per head NFL defensive coordinators will figure out the Denver offense and Tebowmania, but it won’t be this week.

Pick: Denver Broncos