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Sports betting enthusiasts love the NFL playoffs because of the excitement and the odds that are heavily tilted in the favor of the home team. Home field advantage is something that every NFL team plays hard for every year. While the first round byes and home field advantage are often decided with a few weeks left in the season, you will still see teams putting it all on the line just to get that first round home playoff game. The price per head bookmaking experts know why NFL teams fight so hard for home playoff games and it is something that bettors should become familiar with as well.
The NFL scores in playoff games, in general, favor the home team by as much as 70 percent. Even against the spread, the home teams are winning 60 percent of the time. As teams advance to the second and third rounds of the playoffs, the competition gets decidedly more difficult. But even in later rounds, the home teams that had first round byes also win about 60 percent of the playoff games.
Home field advantage is a huge boost to any NFL playoff team. Teams fight for it and draft players based on the ability of those players to help the teams secure a home field playoff game. Not only does a home field playoff game mean extra revenue for the home team, but the odds of winning can also make extra revenue for the bettors who know and use the percentages to their benefit.
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The sports betting sites are still listing the teams that are on the NFL playoff bubble. Some teams are making their move while others keep fading into the sunset. In week 14, NFL fans all over the country will watch as some of the bubble teams get popped and their playoff hopes get dashed with untimely wins in week 14.
Buffalo Bills @ San Diego Chargers (-7)
At 5-7, you would think that the Buffalo Bills would stop showing up on the list of AFC teams on the bubble. The San Diego Chargers claim that they can pull off another miraculous end of the season run to finish the season at 9-7. According to the price per head bookmaking experts, the Chargers at 9-7 may not be enough to win the AFC West or get an AFC wild card spot. But the Chargers have a better shot at making the playoffs than the Bills do.
Pick: San Diego Chargers
New York Giants @ Dallas Cowboys (-3 ½)
The thud of a playoff collapse is a sound that New York Giants fans know all too well. Even though the Giants put up a great fight against the undefeated Packers that does not mean that New York can stop the rolling Cowboys. Dallas is playing some impressive offense right now and should be able to crush the Giants’ playoff hopes.
Pick: Dallas Cowboys
Kansas City Chiefs @ New York Jets (-9)
The Jets’ defense has been giving up rushing yards in huge chunks lately. With Kyle Orton having more time to become familiar with the Kansas City offense, it will give the Chiefs an advantage over the Jets. The only question is whether or not Mark Sanchez can rally the Jets to save its season and the answer to that is no.
Pick: Kansas City Chiefs
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Week 12 on the NFL schedule is here, and there are several teams in the thick of a playoff battle. The sports betting sites are keeping a close watch on the teams and trying to separate the contenders from the pretenders. Some teams have hit major lows while others are still flying on major highs. Here are some of the upsets to watch for this weekend.
Carolina Panthers (-3) @ Indianapolis Colts
There is nothing in this pick other than a gut feeling. The Colts will win the Andrew Luck sweepstakes, and they will probably take Luck. But the Colts will not go 0-16. The defense on this team can win this game if it can just contain Cam Newton. Defenses all over the league are figuring Newton out, and Indianapolis has a pretty decent pass rush.
Pick: Indianapolis Colts
Chicago Bears @ Oakland Raiders (-4 ½)
The Bears’ fans are panicking over the loss of quarterback Jay Cutler to injury. But all backup Caleb Hanie has to do is give the ball to running back Matt Forte and not give the ball away with interceptions. The rest of this Chicago team is still a championship caliber team, and Hanie does not need to be great to win this game.
Pick: Chicago Bears
Denver Broncos @ San Diego Chargers (-6 ½)
The Chargers keep giving up points with the odds makers each week because every one of them believes that San Diego should start winning. At some point, price per head NFL defensive coordinators will figure out the Denver offense and Tebowmania, but it won’t be this week.
Pick: Denver Broncos
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The sports betting sites are getting ready for the mid-point of the NFL season as some teams prepare to make their playoff moves this week. Teams that have been struggling are starting to put together wins and are making things exciting for the fans. Let’s take a look at the pay per head sportsbook odds on the teams that are starting to make some progress after a rough start to the season.
Tennessee Titans @ Carolina Panthers (-3)
Losing is a hard habit to break, and the Carolina Panthers were so used to losing that star wide receiver Steve Smith almost left the team. But there is hope now in Carolina with the arrival of rookie quarterback Cam Newton. The entire team is slowly improving thanks to the influence of Newton, and that will carry over into next season as well.
Pick: Carolina Panthers
Washington Redskins @ Miami Dolphins (-4)
The Washington Redskins really need a quarterback, and they do not have one. The Miami Dolphins need a franchise quarterback to replace Dan Marino who retired 11 years ago, but Matt Moore will do for now.
Pick: Miami Dolphins
Denver Broncos @ Kansas City Chiefs (-3)
The NFL schedule has been pretty generous to the Denver Broncos this season as it has been a string of winnable games for new quarterback Tim Tebow. But Tebow has been struggling and it is unsure as to how much longer Tebowmania will rule in Denver. One thing that should happen is Tebowmania should be enough to roll over the wildly inconsistent Kansas City Chiefs.
Pick: Denver Broncos
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The sports betting sites are taking bets for week six in the NFL, and the upset picks are out there. If you love the underdog, then here are some upset picks that will be the feel-good stories of week six in the NFL.
Jacksonville Jaguars @ Pittsburgh Steelers (-13)
The price per head sports fans in Pittsburgh were happy to see the Steelers get back on the winning track in week five against the Titans. But there is just something about this game against the Jaguars that sets it up to be an upset. Without James Harrison to put pressure on rookie quarterback Blaine Gabbert, Gabbert could have the game of his life. In either case, take the Jaguars with the points. But there is a very good chance that Jacksonville wins this game outright.
Pick: Jacksonville Jaguars
Carolina Panthers @ Atlanta Falcons (-4)
The odds makers are sometimes a few weeks behind on the news for each team. Not only does the Panthers have a potent offense, but the defensive secondary is getting much better. This game will be an intertops shootout that Cam Newton and the Panthers will win.
Pick: Carolina Panthers
Minnesota Vikings @ Chicago Bears (-3)
The Minnesota Vikings are not going to suddenly burst into the playoff picture, but the Vikings will beat the Bears in this game. The Chicago offensive play calling continues to be horrible, and the Vikings have found its groove on offense. People forget that the Minnesota defense is still a very good unit, and running back Adrian Peterson is always a force on the Minnesota offensive line of scrimmage.
Pick: Minnesota Vikings
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